Tuesday, February 14, 2012

To: Friends & Supporters

From: Gary L. Bauer

COUNTDOWN TO VICTORY: 266 DAYS TO THE 2012 ELECTIONS

Santorum Surging

Santorum's surge is real. Three national polls released in the past 24 hours have Senator Rick Santorum essentially tied or leading Governor Mitt Romney in the Republican presidential contest. As a result, Santorum has overtaken Romney in the RealClearPolitics.com average of polls.

And here is why Santorum's surge is real: According to an analysis of the CBS/New York Times poll, "Mr. Santorum's bump is largely fueled by increased support from self-described conservatives, evangelical Christians and Tea Party supporters." These voters are the base of Republican Party. Until recently, they had been divided. But if they coalesce around one candidate, this race will look considerably different.

Here is another point to consider. Looking at the breakdown of a recent Michigan poll where Santorum was leading Romney one political analyst observed, "Perhaps the most interesting aspect … is the stark divide it shows in the level of voter commitment to the candidates." In the poll, Santorum was running 11 points ahead of Mitt Romney among "definite voters."

These findings should give the party establishment second thoughts about the entire "electability" argument. How does the party win if its nominee does not motivate its most committed supporters? Rick Santorum motivates. Mitt Romney still has a hard time getting an emotional reaction from grassroots conservatives.

Obama's Budget Breakdown

Today's Wall Street Journal breaks down Obama's latest budget proposal. Here are some facts to share with your friends as they consider whether Obama deserves another term.

  • The four years of Obama's first term will represent "the four highest spending years since 1946." In other words, the country hasn't spent this much money as a percentage of our GDP in any four-year period since World War II.
  • Obama's presidency is defined by deficit spending. For four years in a row, Obama's spending has produced deficits in excess of $1.29 trillion -- a historic first.
  • Meanwhile, the Journal notes that "revenues [are] at historic lows because of the mediocre recovery," a recovery hampered by Obama's regulatory assault on virtually every major industry, constant attempts to raise taxes and the uncertainty created by ObamaCare.
  • "All of this has added an astonishing $5 trillion in debt in a single presidential term."
  • Lastly, Obama's budget proposes to raise taxes on individuals, businesses and families earning more than $200,000. "These are the 3% of taxpayers that Mr. Obama says aren't paying their fair share, though that 3% pays more in income tax than the rest of the other 97%."

Keep that last point in mind. As we have repeatedly argued, the problem in Washington is not a lack of revenue, it is too much spending. Just like Bill Clinton, who promised to make the rich "pay their fair share," the Democrats will eventually target the middle class for a big tax hike too. Why? Because there are not enough rich people in America for Obama to tax in order to pay for all his spending.

By the way, don't fall for all the rhetoric about how Obama is going to "soak the rich" to pay for services for the poor. His budget kills the school choice program for inner-city kids in Washington, D.C., while increasing subsidies for "new energy vehicles" like the overpriced Volt from "Government Motors."

America can't afford four more years of Barack Obama!

The Compromise/Cave-In

By now you have probably heard that House Republican leaders have agreed to renew the payroll tax cut without coming up with a way to pay for it now. They accepted this compromise with the White House because they could find no other way to avoid an economic growth-killing tax increase.

While House Republicans wanted to cut spending, Obama and Senate Democrats wanted to raise taxes on entrepreneurs and small businesses. Sadly, the polls show Obama has been winning this debate, and the House GOP leadership didn't want to fight on this ground again.

I can understand why they reached that conclusion. But I suspect they also felt that they would get credit from the media for compromising with Obama. After all, the media have been labeling the GOP "obstructionist" for months. Well, guess what? Every news story today is about how the GOP got rolled by Obama and surrendered.

News flash to our friends on Capitol Hill: You are going to be labeled either "obstructionists" or "cowards." Pick your battles and your retreats carefully.

Israelis Targeted Worldwide

Israeli diplomats were the targets of assassination attempts in New Delhi, India, and Tbilisi, Georgia, yesterday. The car-bombing in India injured four people. Thankfully, the device used in Georgia failed to explode.

This morning brought news of a series of bomb blasts in Thailand. Two Iranians are in custody, including the bomber, who lost both his legs when one attack went awry. Police are searching for a third accomplice.

The Israeli government is blaming the Islamic regime in Tehran and its terrorist proxy, Hezbollah, for these attacks. Defense Minister Ehud Barak said, "We know who carried out the terror attacks, we know who sent them, and Israel will settle the score with them."

 

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